Service

Thirteen-Week Cash Flow

A cash forecast that is not reconciled weekly is a mood board. The thirteen-week instrument earns its keep in the variance column, not the projection.

The work

What the work actually is.

A direct-method cash forecast, maintained weekly: foresight as a working instrument.

Most companies that “have a forecast” have a spreadsheet built once for a lender and opened rarely since. The instrument is different in kind: receipts and disbursements by week, direct from the bank record, thirteen weeks forward, and re-cut every week against what actually happened. The projection is the least of it. The variance column is where the business tells the truth about itself: which customers actually pay on terms, which vendor promises hold, where the model of the company and the company disagree.

The discipline moves cash decisions forward in time. A payroll pinch surfaces in week nine instead of week one. Vendor payments get sequenced deliberately instead of triaged at the deadline. The hire, the purchase, the drawdown each get decided against a dated forward view rather than a bank balance and a feeling.

Installed, not advised: Lotus builds the model on the company’s real receipt and disbursement categories, reconciles it to the bank, and runs the weekly review alongside the team until the cadence holds without us. The forecast that dies when the consultant leaves was never an instrument.

Deliverables

What you keep.

Thirteen-week direct-method forecast
Receipts and disbursements by week, reconciled to the bank record, rolled forward every week.
Weekly variance review
Forecast against actuals, material variances explained in writing, the forward view re-cut.
Cash decision calendar
Hires, purchases, drawdowns: the dates each must be decided, mapped against the forecast that funds them.

Getting started

A cash autopsy on the trailing eight weeks: receipts and disbursements from the bank record, categorized weekly, and the first thirteen-week forward view cut from that base.

Get started

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